Dainichiseika Color & Chemicals Mfg. Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4116) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥87.00 per share on 8th of December. This takes the dividend yield to 4.3%, which shareholders will be pleased with.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Dainichiseika Color & Chemicals Mfg's stock price has increased by 31% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.
Dainichiseika Color & Chemicals Mfg's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Dainichiseika Color & Chemicals Mfg is quite easily earning enough to cover the dividend, however it is being let down by weak cash flows. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.
Looking forward, earnings per share could rise by 31.1% over the next year if the trend from the last few years continues. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 21%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Check out our latest analysis for Dainichiseika Color & Chemicals Mfg
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from ¥60.00 total annually to ¥174.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 11% over that duration. Dainichiseika Color & Chemicals Mfg has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Dainichiseika Color & Chemicals Mfg has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 31% per annum. Earnings per share is growing at a solid clip, and the payout ratio is low which we think is an ideal combination in a dividend stock as the company can quite easily raise the dividend in the future.
In Summary
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Dainichiseika Color & Chemicals Mfg's payments are rock solid. While Dainichiseika Color & Chemicals Mfg is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Dainichiseika Color & Chemicals Mfg that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.