Toho Acetylene Co., Ltd. (TSE:4093) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥5.00 per share on the 15th of December. This makes the dividend yield 4.0%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
Toho Acetylene's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. However, prior to this announcement, Toho Acetylene's dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.
If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 7.0% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 40%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
See our latest analysis for Toho Acetylene
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from ¥20.00 total annually to ¥14.00. The dividend has shrunk at around 3.5% a year during that period. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.
Toho Acetylene Could Grow Its Dividend
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. We are encouraged to see that Toho Acetylene has grown earnings per share at 7.0% per year over the past five years. Toho Acetylene definitely has the potential to grow its dividend in the future with earnings on an uptrend and a low payout ratio.
In Summary
Overall, a consistent dividend is a good thing, and we think that Toho Acetylene has the ability to continue this into the future. While the payout ratios are a good sign, we are less enthusiastic about the company's dividend record. This looks like it could be a good dividend stock going forward, but we would note that the payout ratio has been at higher levels in the past so it could happen again.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Toho Acetylene that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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