Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd. (TSE:4063) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥53.00 per share on the 30th of June. Based on this payment, the dividend yield for the company will be 2.2%, which is fairly typical for the industry.
View our latest analysis for Shin-Etsu Chemical
Shin-Etsu Chemical's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. However, prior to this announcement, Shin-Etsu Chemical's dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 9.9% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 41% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was ¥20.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥106.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 18% per annum over that time. Shin-Etsu Chemical has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. It's encouraging to see that Shin-Etsu Chemical has been growing its earnings per share at 13% a year over the past five years. A low payout ratio and decent growth suggests that the company is reinvesting well, and it also has plenty of room to increase the dividend over time.
We Really Like Shin-Etsu Chemical's Dividend
Overall, we think this could be an attractive income stock, and it is only getting better by paying a higher dividend this year. Earnings are easily covering distributions, and the company is generating plenty of cash. All in all, this checks a lot of the boxes we look for when choosing an income stock.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Shin-Etsu Chemical that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4063
Shin-Etsu Chemical
Provides infrastructure, electronics, and functional materials in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.