Stock Analysis

Tokuyama (TSE:4043) Is Increasing Its Dividend To ¥60.00

The board of Tokuyama Corporation (TSE:4043) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of ¥60.00 on the 2nd of December, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 3.7%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

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Tokuyama's Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Before making this announcement, Tokuyama was easily earning enough to cover the dividend. As a result, a large proportion of what it earned was being reinvested back into the business.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 14.6% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 34% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

historic-dividend
TSE:4043 Historic Dividend July 23rd 2025

Check out our latest analysis for Tokuyama

Tokuyama Is Still Building Its Track Record

The dividend's track record has been pretty solid, but with only 8 years of history we want to see a few more years of history before making any solid conclusions. The annual payment during the last 8 years was ¥20.00 in 2017, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥120.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 25% over that duration. Tokuyama has been growing its dividend quite rapidly, which is exciting. However, the short payment history makes us question whether this performance will persist across a full market cycle.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Earnings have grown at around 2.5% a year for the past five years, which isn't massive but still better than seeing them shrink. While growth may be thin on the ground, Tokuyama could always pay out a higher proportion of earnings to increase shareholder returns.

In Summary

Overall, this is a reasonable dividend, and it being raised is an added bonus. The payout ratio looks good, but unfortunately the company's dividend track record isn't stellar. The payment isn't stellar, but it could make a decent addition to a dividend portfolio.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Earnings growth generally bodes well for the future value of company dividend payments. See if the 3 Tokuyama analysts we track are forecasting continued growth with our free report on analyst estimates for the company. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tokuyama might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:4043

Tokuyama

Produces and sells various chemical products in Japan.

Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.

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