Stock Analysis

Nittetsu Mining (TSE:1515) Is Paying Out Less In Dividends Than Last Year

Nittetsu Mining Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:1515) dividend is being reduced from last year's payment covering the same period to ¥80.00 on the 27th of November. However, the dividend yield of 3.6% still remains in a typical range for the industry.

View our latest analysis for Nittetsu Mining

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Nittetsu Mining's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings

We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. Prior to this announcement, Nittetsu Mining's dividend was only 33% of earnings, however it was paying out 106% of free cash flows. The business might be trying to strike a balance between returning cash to shareholders and reinvesting back into the business, but this high of a payout ratio could definitely force the dividend to be cut if the company runs into a bit of a tough spot.

Looking forward, earnings per share could rise by 11.5% over the next year if the trend from the last few years continues. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 34% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
TSE:1515 Historic Dividend September 27th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from ¥35.00 total annually to ¥161.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 16% over that duration. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Nittetsu Mining has impressed us by growing EPS at 12% per year over the past five years. Nittetsu Mining definitely has the potential to grow its dividend in the future with earnings on an uptrend and a low payout ratio.

Our Thoughts On Nittetsu Mining's Dividend

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Nittetsu Mining that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is Nittetsu Mining not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nittetsu Mining might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:1515

Nittetsu Mining

Engages in mining activities in Japan and internationally.

Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.

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