Stock Analysis

Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:6178) stock price dropped 3.5% last week; individual investors would not be happy

TSE:6178
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Key Insights

  • Japan Post Holdings' significant individual investors ownership suggests that the key decisions are influenced by shareholders from the larger public
  • A total of 8 investors have a majority stake in the company with 51% ownership
  • Institutions own 19% of Japan Post Holdings

Every investor in Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:6178) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. With 41% stake, individual investors possess the maximum shares in the company. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

And last week, individual investors endured the biggest losses as the stock fell by 3.5%.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Japan Post Holdings.

View our latest analysis for Japan Post Holdings

ownership-breakdown
TSE:6178 Ownership Breakdown September 18th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Japan Post Holdings?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Japan Post Holdings. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Japan Post Holdings' historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSE:6178 Earnings and Revenue Growth September 18th 2024

Hedge funds don't have many shares in Japan Post Holdings. Ministry of Finance Japan is currently the company's largest shareholder with 37% of shares outstanding. With 3.1% and 2.6% of the shares outstanding respectively, Japan Post Holdings, Employees' Shareholding Association and Nomura Asset Management Co., Ltd. are the second and third largest shareholders.

We also observed that the top 8 shareholders account for more than half of the share register, with a few smaller shareholders to balance the interests of the larger ones to a certain extent.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

Insider Ownership Of Japan Post Holdings

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our data suggests that insiders own under 1% of Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. in their own names. As it is a large company, we'd only expect insiders to own a small percentage of it. But it's worth noting that they own JPÂ¥176m worth of shares. Arguably recent buying and selling is just as important to consider. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

With a 41% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Japan Post Holdings. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Japan Post Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Japan Post Holdings you should know about.

But ultimately it is the future, not the past, that will determine how well the owners of this business will do. Therefore we think it advisable to take a look at this free report showing whether analysts are predicting a brighter future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.