Kao Corporation (TSE:4452) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥76.00 per share on the 25th of March. Based on this payment, the dividend yield for the company will be 2.1%, which is fairly typical for the industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Kao
Kao's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
We like to see a healthy dividend yield, but that is only helpful to us if the payment can continue. Based on the last payment, Kao's profits didn't cover the dividend, but the company was generating enough cash instead. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.
EPS is set to grow by 15.8% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, our estimates say the payout ratio could reach 94% - on the higher side, but we wouldn't necessarily say this is unsustainable.
Kao Has A Solid Track Record
Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥64.00 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥152.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 9.0% over that duration. The growth of the dividend has been pretty reliable, so we think this can offer investors some nice additional income in their portfolio.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. Earnings per share has been sinking by 13% over the last five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.
Our Thoughts On Kao's Dividend
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Kao will make a great income stock. The company has been bring in plenty of cash to cover the dividend, but we don't necessarily think that makes it a great dividend stock. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Kao that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4452
Kao
Develops and sells hygiene and living care, health and beauty care, life care, cosmetics, and chemical products.
Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.