Kao Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Kao is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 12.3% and 2.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.2% in 3 years.

Key information

12.3%

Earnings growth rate

12.7%

EPS growth rate

Personal Products earnings growth20.3%
Revenue growth rate2.9%
Future return on equity12.2%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated11 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Kao's (TSE:4452) Dividend Will Be ¥76.00

Dec 25
Kao's (TSE:4452) Dividend Will Be ¥76.00

Kao (TSE:4452) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥76.00

Dec 11
Kao (TSE:4452) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥76.00

Kao's (TSE:4452) Dividend Will Be ¥76.00

Nov 27
Kao's (TSE:4452) Dividend Will Be ¥76.00

Estimating The Fair Value Of Kao Corporation (TSE:4452)

Nov 26
Estimating The Fair Value Of Kao Corporation (TSE:4452)

Earnings Miss: Kao Corporation Missed EPS By 7.9% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Nov 09
Earnings Miss: Kao Corporation Missed EPS By 7.9% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Is Kao (TSE:4452) A Risky Investment?

Sep 24
Is Kao (TSE:4452) A Risky Investment?

Kao (TSE:4452) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥76.00

Sep 09
Kao (TSE:4452) Will Pay A Dividend Of ¥76.00

Kao (TSE:4452) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥76.00

Aug 26
Kao (TSE:4452) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥76.00

Kao (TSE:4452) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥76.00

Aug 12
Kao (TSE:4452) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of ¥76.00

Results: Kao Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Aug 11
Results: Kao Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Kao Corporation's (TSE:4452) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 24% Below Its Share Price

Aug 01
Kao Corporation's (TSE:4452) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 24% Below Its Share Price

Kao (TSE:4452) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Jun 19
Kao (TSE:4452) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Kao's (TSE:4452) Dividend Will Be Increased To ¥76.00

Jun 05
Kao's (TSE:4452) Dividend Will Be Increased To ¥76.00

Investors Could Be Concerned With Kao's (TSE:4452) Returns On Capital

May 30
Investors Could Be Concerned With Kao's (TSE:4452) Returns On Capital

Kao Corporation Just Beat EPS By 27%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

May 11
Kao Corporation Just Beat EPS By 27%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Kao's (TSE:4452) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Apr 26
Kao's (TSE:4452) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Kao (TSE:4452) Is Increasing Its Dividend To ¥76.00

Apr 11
Kao (TSE:4452) Is Increasing Its Dividend To ¥76.00

Kao's (TSE:4452) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

Mar 30
Kao's (TSE:4452) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

Calculating The Fair Value Of Kao Corporation (TSE:4452)

Mar 16
Calculating The Fair Value Of Kao Corporation (TSE:4452)

Some Investors May Be Worried About Kao's (TSE:4452) Returns On Capital

Mar 01
Some Investors May Be Worried About Kao's (TSE:4452) Returns On Capital

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSE:4452 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (JPY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20271,764,612138,204128,450216,9804
12/31/20261,723,949129,938118,653214,11110
12/31/20251,671,172117,700106,527198,96110
12/31/20241,616,278107,75598,280183,60210
9/30/20241,596,70782,355149,453214,123N/A
6/30/20241,582,03870,659139,855204,214N/A
3/31/20241,550,58255,523138,168201,514N/A
12/31/20231,532,57943,870136,034202,481N/A
9/30/20231,549,23260,260110,066178,015N/A
6/30/20231,555,68663,77497,267165,570N/A
3/31/20231,552,05872,61161,584138,216N/A
12/31/20221,551,05986,03853,704130,905N/A
9/30/20221,525,51985,88650,117127,386N/A
6/30/20221,477,49095,98662,493138,682N/A
3/31/20221,445,005102,16196,827165,930N/A
12/31/20211,418,768109,636104,005175,524N/A
9/30/20211,397,696122,271131,555199,903N/A
6/30/20211,390,018128,080139,706205,850N/A
3/31/20211,364,788125,196142,764207,637N/A
12/31/20201,381,997126,142144,868214,718N/A
9/30/20201,398,171130,575136,159219,384N/A
6/30/20201,448,000141,518149,880238,331N/A
3/31/20201,493,104148,438152,132250,228N/A
12/31/20191,502,241148,213150,745244,523N/A
9/30/20191,519,528157,841151,160235,072N/A
6/30/20191,500,376148,188119,883211,057N/A
3/31/20191,504,266152,364110,699195,315N/A
12/31/20181,508,007153,698107,612195,610N/A
9/30/20181,506,980150,023103,999198,007N/A
6/30/20181,501,147153,347N/A183,962N/A
3/31/20181,494,887150,615N/A183,600N/A
12/31/20171,489,421147,010N/A185,845N/A
9/30/20171,482,771136,617N/A197,472N/A
6/30/20171,475,385133,015N/A199,373N/A
3/31/20171,467,697129,919N/A189,267N/A
12/31/20161,457,610126,551N/A184,307N/A
9/30/20161,464,403117,019N/A166,421N/A
6/30/20161,476,153114,821N/A177,176N/A
3/31/20161,478,106107,647N/A179,524N/A
12/31/20151,471,79198,862N/A180,864N/A
9/30/20151,456,93997,120N/A164,223N/A
6/30/20151,430,93481,989N/A142,796N/A
3/31/20151,389,28466,411N/A135,137N/A
12/31/20141,401,70779,590N/A145,118N/A
9/30/20141,371,92475,882N/A136,928N/A
6/30/20141,356,20478,148N/A156,905N/A
3/31/20141,367,37279,437N/A158,784N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 4452's forecast earnings growth (12.3% per year) is above the savings rate (0.3%).

Earnings vs Market: 4452's earnings (12.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the JP market (7.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 4452's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 4452's revenue (2.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the JP market (4.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 4452's revenue (2.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 4452's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.2%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/07 08:17
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/07 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Kao Corporation is covered by 30 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mitsuko MiyasakoBarclays
James MoonBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Akiko KuwaharaBofA Global Research