Stock Analysis

We Like Ohki Healthcare HoldingsLtd's (TSE:3417) Earnings For More Than Just Statutory Profit

TSE:3417
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Ohki Healthcare Holdings Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:3417) recent earnings report didn't offer any surprises, with the shares unchanged over the last week. We did some analysis to find out why and believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors contained in the earnings.

Check out our latest analysis for Ohki Healthcare HoldingsLtd

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSE:3417 Earnings and Revenue History May 24th 2024

Zooming In On Ohki Healthcare HoldingsLtd's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to March 2024, Ohki Healthcare HoldingsLtd had an accrual ratio of -0.18. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of JP„7.2b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of JP„2.21b. Notably, Ohki Healthcare HoldingsLtd had negative free cash flow last year, so the JP„7.2b it produced this year was a welcome improvement. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Ohki Healthcare HoldingsLtd.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Surprisingly, given Ohki Healthcare HoldingsLtd's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by JP„146m in unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

Our Take On Ohki Healthcare HoldingsLtd's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Ohki Healthcare HoldingsLtd's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Considering all the aforementioned, we'd venture that Ohki Healthcare HoldingsLtd's profit result is a pretty good guide to its true profitability, albeit a bit on the conservative side. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 is significant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Ohki Healthcare HoldingsLtd.

Our examination of Ohki Healthcare HoldingsLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.