Kewpie Corporation's (TSE:2809) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥23.00 per share on 7th of August. Based on this payment, the dividend yield will be 1.6%, which is fairly typical for the industry.
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Kewpie's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage
We like to see a healthy dividend yield, but that is only helpful to us if the payment can continue. Based on the last payment, Kewpie was paying only paying out a fraction of earnings, but the payment was a massive 111% of cash flows. The business might be trying to strike a balance between returning cash to shareholders and reinvesting back into the business, but this high of a payout ratio could definitely force the dividend to be cut if the company runs into a bit of a tough spot.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 23.1%. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 34% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥22.00 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥50.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 8.6% over that duration. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Kewpie might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. However, Kewpie's EPS was effectively flat over the past five years, which could stop the company from paying more every year. While growth may be thin on the ground, Kewpie could always pay out a higher proportion of earnings to increase shareholder returns.
In Summary
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Kewpie's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. While Kewpie is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Kewpie that investors should take into consideration. Is Kewpie not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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About TSE:2809
Kewpie
Through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sales food products in Japan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.