Stock Analysis

Is Kewpie (TSE:2809) Using Too Much Debt?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Kewpie Corporation (TSE:2809) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

How Much Debt Does Kewpie Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Kewpie had JP¥8.08b of debt in May 2025, down from JP¥17.9b, one year before. However, it does have JP¥87.4b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of JP¥79.3b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:2809 Debt to Equity History August 3rd 2025

How Healthy Is Kewpie's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Kewpie had liabilities of JP¥101.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥23.8b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥87.4b as well as receivables valued at JP¥75.4b due within 12 months. So it actually has JP¥37.9b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that Kewpie could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Kewpie boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

See our latest analysis for Kewpie

Kewpie's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, but that shouldn't be an issue given the it doesn't have a lot of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Kewpie's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Kewpie has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Kewpie recorded free cash flow worth 64% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Kewpie has JP¥79.3b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So is Kewpie's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Kewpie has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kewpie might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.