The board of Fuji Nihon Seito Corporation (TSE:2114) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥15.00 per share on the 4th of December. The dividend yield will be 2.9% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
See our latest analysis for Fuji Nihon Seito
Fuji Nihon Seito's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. The last payment was quite easily covered by earnings, but it made up 132% of cash flows. This signals that the company is more focused on returning cash flow to shareholders, but it could mean that the dividend is exposed to cuts in the future.
Over the next year, EPS could expand by 40.2% if recent trends continue. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 32% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥9.00 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥32.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 14% a year over that time. Fuji Nihon Seito has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. It's encouraging to see that Fuji Nihon Seito has been growing its earnings per share at 40% a year over the past five years. Fuji Nihon Seito is clearly able to grow rapidly while still returning cash to shareholders, positioning it to become a strong dividend payer in the future.
In Summary
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Fuji Nihon Seito that investors should take into consideration. Is Fuji Nihon Seito not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:2114
Fuji Nihon
Engages in the manufacture and sale of refined sugar and sugar-related products in Japan.
Excellent balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.