Stock Analysis

Return Trends At Idemitsu KosanLtd (TSE:5019) Aren't Appealing

TSE:5019
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If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. That's why when we briefly looked at Idemitsu KosanLtd's (TSE:5019) ROCE trend, we were pretty happy with what we saw.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Idemitsu KosanLtd is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.12 = JP¥346b ÷ (JP¥5.0t - JP¥2.2t) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

Therefore, Idemitsu KosanLtd has an ROCE of 12%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 8.8% generated by the Oil and Gas industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Idemitsu KosanLtd

roce
TSE:5019 Return on Capital Employed May 22nd 2024

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Idemitsu KosanLtd compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Idemitsu KosanLtd .

What Can We Tell From Idemitsu KosanLtd's ROCE Trend?

The trend of ROCE doesn't stand out much, but returns on a whole are decent. The company has consistently earned 12% for the last five years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 66% in that time. 12% is a pretty standard return, and it provides some comfort knowing that Idemitsu KosanLtd has consistently earned this amount. Over long periods of time, returns like these might not be too exciting, but with consistency they can pay off in terms of share price returns.

Another thing to note, Idemitsu KosanLtd has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 44%. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

Our Take On Idemitsu KosanLtd's ROCE

To sum it up, Idemitsu KosanLtd has simply been reinvesting capital steadily, at those decent rates of return. And the stock has done incredibly well with a 121% return over the last five years, so long term investors are no doubt ecstatic with that result. So even though the stock might be more "expensive" than it was before, we think the strong fundamentals warrant this stock for further research.

Idemitsu KosanLtd does have some risks, we noticed 2 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

While Idemitsu KosanLtd may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Idemitsu KosanLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.