Stock Analysis

Should You Be Adding Nomura Holdings (TSE:8604) To Your Watchlist Today?

TSE:8604
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Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' A loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the inflow of external capital may dry up.

If this kind of company isn't your style, you like companies that generate revenue, and even earn profits, then you may well be interested in Nomura Holdings (TSE:8604). Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide Nomura Holdings with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.

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How Quickly Is Nomura Holdings Increasing Earnings Per Share?

If a company can keep growing earnings per share (EPS) long enough, its share price should eventually follow. That means EPS growth is considered a real positive by most successful long-term investors. Nomura Holdings' shareholders have have plenty to be happy about as their annual EPS growth for the last 3 years was 53%. While that sort of growth rate isn't sustainable for long, it certainly catches the eye of prospective investors.

It's often helpful to take a look at earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. Our analysis has highlighted that Nomura Holdings' revenue from operations did not account for all of their revenue in the previous 12 months, so our analysis of its margins might not accurately reflect the underlying business. While we note Nomura Holdings achieved similar EBIT margins to last year, revenue grew by a solid 31% to JP¥1.9t. That's progress.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSE:8604 Earnings and Revenue History April 17th 2025

View our latest analysis for Nomura Holdings

You don't drive with your eyes on the rear-view mirror, so you might be more interested in this free report showing analyst forecasts for Nomura Holdings' future profits.

Are Nomura Holdings Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a JP¥2.3t company like Nomura Holdings. But we do take comfort from the fact that they are investors in the company. To be specific, they have JP¥1.7b worth of shares. That's a lot of money, and no small incentive to work hard. Even though that's only about 0.07% of the company, it's enough money to indicate alignment between the leaders of the business and ordinary shareholders.

Is Nomura Holdings Worth Keeping An Eye On?

Nomura Holdings' earnings per share have been soaring, with growth rates sky high. That EPS growth certainly is attention grabbing, and the large insider ownership only serves to further stoke our interest. At times fast EPS growth is a sign the business has reached an inflection point, so there's a potential opportunity to be had here. So based on this quick analysis, we do think it's worth considering Nomura Holdings for a spot on your watchlist. Still, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Nomura Holdings (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us).

There's always the possibility of doing well buying stocks that are not growing earnings and do not have insiders buying shares. But for those who consider these important metrics, we encourage you to check out companies that do have those features. You can access a tailored list of Japanese companies which have demonstrated growth backed by significant insider holdings.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nomura Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.