Stock Analysis

Benign Growth For Daiwa Securities Group Inc. (TSE:8601) Underpins Stock's 34% Plummet

TSE:8601
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The Daiwa Securities Group Inc. (TSE:8601) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 34%. The last month has meant the stock is now only up 9.6% during the last year.

Even after such a large drop in price, Daiwa Securities Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.8x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 14x and even P/E's above 21x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Daiwa Securities Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Daiwa Securities Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:8601 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 6th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Daiwa Securities Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For Daiwa Securities Group?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Daiwa Securities Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 66% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 15% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 6.6% per year during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 9.6% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Daiwa Securities Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Daiwa Securities Group's P/E?

Daiwa Securities Group's P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Daiwa Securities Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Daiwa Securities Group (1 is potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.