The board of Orient Corporation (TSE:8585) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 26th of June, with investors receiving ¥40.00 per share. The dividend yield will be 4.8% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
View our latest analysis for Orient
Orient's Future Dividends May Potentially Be At Risk
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, the dividend made up 111% of earnings, and the company was generating negative free cash flows. Paying out such a large dividend compared to earnings while also not generating any free cash flow would definitely be difficult to keep up.
Earnings per share is forecast to rise by 21.4% over the next year. If the dividend continues on its recent course, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 102%, which is a bit high and could start applying pressure to the balance sheet.
Orient Doesn't Have A Long Payment History
Even though the company has been paying a consistent dividend for a while, we would like to see a few more years before we feel comfortable relying on it. The annual payment during the last 8 years was ¥20.00 in 2016, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥40.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 9.1% over that duration. Orient has a nice track record of dividend growth but we would wait until we see a longer track record before getting too confident.
The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential
Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. Let's not jump to conclusions as things might not be as good as they appear on the surface. Earnings per share has been sinking by 22% over the last five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.
Orient's Dividend Doesn't Look Great
In summary, while it is good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we think that at current levels the payment isn't particularly sustainable. The company's earnings aren't high enough to be making such big distributions, and it isn't backed up by strong growth or consistency either. We don't think that this is a great candidate to be an income stock.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. To that end, Orient has 3 warning signs (and 2 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:8585
Moderate growth potential second-rate dividend payer.