The board of AEON Financial Service Co., Ltd. (TSE:8570) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 14th of November, with investors receiving ¥25.00 per share. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 3.9%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
AEON Financial Service's Dividend Forecasted To Be Well Covered By Earnings
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable.
Having distributed dividends for at least 10 years, AEON Financial Service has a long history of paying out a part of its earnings to shareholders. Taking data from its last earnings report, calculating for the company's payout ratio shows 59%, which means that AEON Financial Service would be able to pay its last dividend without pressure on the balance sheet.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 17.0%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the future payout ratio will be 48%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
See our latest analysis for AEON Financial Service
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥60.00 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥53.00. The dividend has shrunk at around 1.2% a year during that period. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Over the past five years, it looks as though AEON Financial Service's EPS has declined at around 12% a year. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future. Over the next year, however, earnings are actually predicted to rise, but we would still be cautious until a track record of earnings growth can be built.
Our Thoughts On AEON Financial Service's Dividend
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, but generally we are not too happy with the payments AEON Financial Service has been making. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for AEON Financial Service that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is AEON Financial Service not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:8570
AEON Financial Service
Through its subsidiaries, provides various financial services in Japan.
Reasonable growth potential with adequate balance sheet.
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