Stock Analysis

Aiful Corporation's (TSE:8515) Subdued P/E Might Signal An Opportunity

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10x Aiful Corporation (TSE:8515) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios greater than 15x and even P/E's higher than 24x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Recent times have been advantageous for Aiful as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Aiful

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:8515 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 27th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Aiful's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

Aiful's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 80% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 243% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 19% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 11%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Aiful's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Aiful's P/E?

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Aiful's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Aiful has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Aiful, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:8515

Aiful

Engages in the consumer finance and credit guarantee business in Japan.

Undervalued with solid track record.

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