Stock Analysis

Tokyo Century Corporation's (TSE:8439) Share Price Is Matching Sentiment Around Its Revenues

TSE:8439
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You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x Tokyo Century Corporation (TSE:8439) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Diversified Financial companies in Japan have P/S ratios greater than 1.6x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Tokyo Century

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:8439 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 1st 2024

What Does Tokyo Century's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times haven't been great for Tokyo Century as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Tokyo Century.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Tokyo Century's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 5.4% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 12% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 6.7% per annum during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 9.9% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Tokyo Century is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Tokyo Century's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Tokyo Century (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tokyo Century might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSE:8439

Tokyo Century

Provides equipment leasing, mobility and fleet management, specialty financing, and international businesses in Japan, the United States, Ireland, The United Kingdom, Germany, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, China, the Philippines, Panama, Mexico, Brazil, and internationally.

Very undervalued with solid track record and pays a dividend.