Stock Analysis

Why We're Not Concerned About Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:9887) Share Price

TSE:9887
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1x in the Hospitality industry in Japan, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Matsuya Foods Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:9887) P/S ratio of 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Matsuya Foods Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:9887 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 19th 2024

How Has Matsuya Foods Holdings Performed Recently?

Revenue has risen firmly for Matsuya Foods Holdings recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Matsuya Foods Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Matsuya Foods Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 22% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 40% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 11% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.

With this information, we can see why Matsuya Foods Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see average growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

The Final Word

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we've seen, Matsuya Foods Holdings' three-year revenue trends seem to be contributing to its P/S, given they look similar to current industry expectations. With previous revenue trends that keep up with the current industry outlook, it's hard to justify the company's P/S ratio deviating much from it's current point. Given the current circumstances, it seems improbable that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Matsuya Foods Holdings.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.