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Earnings Not Telling The Story For Tokyo Ichiban Foods Co., Ltd. (TSE:3067)
When close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 12x, you may consider Tokyo Ichiban Foods Co., Ltd. (TSE:3067) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 20.9x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Tokyo Ichiban Foods certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Tokyo Ichiban Foods
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Tokyo Ichiban Foods will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Tokyo Ichiban Foods' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 188%. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 9.8% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's alarming that Tokyo Ichiban Foods' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Tokyo Ichiban Foods' P/E?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Tokyo Ichiban Foods revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Tokyo Ichiban Foods that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Tokyo Ichiban Foods might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:3067
Tokyo Ichiban Foods
Operates a chain of swimming tiger blowfish specialty restaurants under the Tora-fugu Tei name in Japan.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.