MINISTOP Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:9946) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥10.00 per share on 2nd of May. This payment means the dividend yield will be 1.1%, which is below the average for the industry.
See our latest analysis for MINISTOP
MINISTOP's Projections Indicate Future Payments May Be Unsustainable
Estimates Indicate MINISTOP's Could Struggle to Maintain Dividend Payments In The Future
MINISTOP's Future Dividends May Potentially Be At Risk
The dividend yield is a little bit low, but sustainability of the payments is also an important part of evaluating an income stock. Even though MINISTOP isn't generating a profit, it is generating healthy free cash flows that easily cover the dividend. In general, cash flows are more important than the more traditional measures of profit so we feel pretty comfortable with the dividend at this level.
The next 12 months is set to see EPS grow by 113.5%. If the dividend continues on its recent course, the company could be paying out several times what it earns in the next 12 months, which could start applying pressure to the balance sheet.
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from ¥45.00 total annually to ¥20.00. The dividend has shrunk at around 7.8% a year during that period. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.
The Company Could Face Some Challenges Growing The Dividend
Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. MINISTOP has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 33% per annum. The company hasn't been turning a profit, but it running in the right direction. If profitability can be achieved soon and growth continues apace, this stock could certainly turn into a solid dividend payer.
In Summary
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Are management backing themselves to deliver performance? Check their shareholdings in MINISTOP in our latest insider ownership analysis. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9946
MINISTOP
Develops and franchises a chain of convenience stores under the MINISTOP brand name in Japan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.