Stock Analysis

We Think Kansai Food Market (TSE:9919) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

TSE:9919
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Kansai Food Market Ltd. (TSE:9919) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Kansai Food Market

What Is Kansai Food Market's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, Kansai Food Market had JP¥11.5b of debt, up from JP¥10.9b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have JP¥19.3b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of JP¥7.84b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:9919 Debt to Equity History March 7th 2024

How Healthy Is Kansai Food Market's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kansai Food Market had liabilities of JP¥64.2b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥23.3b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥19.3b in cash and JP¥23.1b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by JP¥45.1b.

Kansai Food Market has a market capitalization of JP¥94.9b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Kansai Food Market also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Kansai Food Market has boosted its EBIT by 45%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Kansai Food Market's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Kansai Food Market has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Kansai Food Market produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 60% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

While Kansai Food Market does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of JP¥7.84b. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 45% over the last year. So we don't think Kansai Food Market's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Kansai Food Market has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Kansai Food Market is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.