Stock Analysis

Kawai Musical Instruments Manufacturing (TSE:7952) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of ¥95.00

TSE:7952
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The board of Kawai Musical Instruments Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (TSE:7952) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 30th of June, with investors receiving ¥95.00 per share. This makes the dividend yield 3.1%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.

View our latest analysis for Kawai Musical Instruments Manufacturing

Estimates Indicate Kawai Musical Instruments Manufacturing's Could Struggle to Maintain Dividend Payments In The Future

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Based on the last payment, earnings were actually smaller than the dividend, and the company was actually spending more cash than it was making. Paying out such a large dividend compared to earnings while also not generating any free cash flow would definitely be difficult to keep up.

If the company can't turn things around, EPS could fall by 27.4% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 245%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.

historic-dividend
TSE:7952 Historic Dividend March 4th 2025

Kawai Musical Instruments Manufacturing Has A Solid Track Record

The company has been paying a dividend for a long time, and it has been quite stable which gives us confidence in the future dividend potential. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was ¥45.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥95.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 7.8% per annum over that time. Dividends have grown at a reasonable rate over this period, and without any major cuts in the payment over time, we think this is an attractive combination as it provides a nice boost to shareholder returns.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. However, things aren't all that rosy. Earnings per share has been sinking by 27% over the last five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. Although they have been consistent in the past, we think the payments are a little high to be sustained. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for Kawai Musical Instruments Manufacturing you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.