Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By ASICS Corporation's (TSE:7936) 38% Share Price Surge

TSE:7936
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ASICS Corporation (TSE:7936) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 38% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 85%.

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 14x, you may consider ASICS as a stock to avoid entirely with its 32.3x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ASICS certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for ASICS

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:7936 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 26th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think ASICS' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like ASICS' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 77% last year. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 14% per annum during the coming three years according to the eight analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.9% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that ASICS' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

ASICS' P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of ASICS' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for ASICS you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether ASICS is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.