Stock Analysis

Here's What We Like About Saibo's (TSE:3123) Upcoming Dividend

TSE:3123
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Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that Saibo Co., Ltd. (TSE:3123) is about to go ex-dividend in just three days. The ex-dividend date is two business days before a company's record date in most cases, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves at least two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. Therefore, if you purchase Saibo's shares on or after the 28th of March, you won't be eligible to receive the dividend, when it is paid on the 30th of June.

The company's next dividend payment will be JP¥8.00 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed JP¥16.00 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Saibo stock has a trailing yield of around 3.2% on the current share price of JP¥496.00. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Saibo's dividend is reliable and sustainable. So we need to investigate whether Saibo can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Fortunately Saibo's payout ratio is modest, at just 26% of profit. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. The good news is it paid out just 10.0% of its free cash flow in the last year.

It's encouraging to see that the dividend is covered by both profit and cash flow. This generally suggests the dividend is sustainable, as long as earnings don't drop precipitously.

View our latest analysis for Saibo

Click here to see how much of its profit Saibo paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
TSE:3123 Historic Dividend March 24th 2025

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with consistently growing earnings per share generally make the best dividend stocks, as they usually find it easier to grow dividends per share. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. It's encouraging to see Saibo has grown its earnings rapidly, up 34% a year for the past five years. Saibo is paying out less than half its earnings and cash flow, while simultaneously growing earnings per share at a rapid clip. This is a very favourable combination that can often lead to the dividend multiplying over the long term, if earnings grow and the company pays out a higher percentage of its earnings.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Saibo has delivered an average of 1.3% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past 10 years of dividend payments. Earnings per share have been growing much quicker than dividends, potentially because Saibo is keeping back more of its profits to grow the business.

The Bottom Line

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Saibo? We love that Saibo is growing earnings per share while simultaneously paying out a low percentage of both its earnings and cash flow. These characteristics suggest the company is reinvesting in growing its business, while the conservative payout ratio also implies a reduced risk of the dividend being cut in the future. There's a lot to like about Saibo, and we would prioritise taking a closer look at it.

While it's tempting to invest in Saibo for the dividends alone, you should always be mindful of the risks involved. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for Saibo that we strongly recommend you have a look at before investing in the company.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.