Stock Analysis

We Think SECOM (TSE:9735) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

TSE:9735
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies SECOM CO., LTD. (TSE:9735) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for SECOM

How Much Debt Does SECOM Carry?

As you can see below, SECOM had JP¥39.2b of debt at December 2023, down from JP¥43.3b a year prior. However, it does have JP¥592.2b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of JP¥552.9b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:9735 Debt to Equity History February 29th 2024

A Look At SECOM's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that SECOM had liabilities of JP¥363.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥303.7b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥592.2b as well as receivables valued at JP¥216.6b due within 12 months. So it actually has JP¥141.3b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that SECOM could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that SECOM has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

Fortunately, SECOM grew its EBIT by 5.0% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine SECOM's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. SECOM may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, SECOM recorded free cash flow worth 64% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that SECOM has net cash of JP¥552.9b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't think SECOM's use of debt is risky. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of SECOM's earnings per share history for free.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether SECOM is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.