The board of TRE Holdings Corporation (TSE:9247) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥20.00 per share on the 26th of June. This means the annual payment is 2.8% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.
Check out our latest analysis for TRE Holdings
TRE Holdings' Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, TRE Holdings' earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 6.4%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 32% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
TRE Holdings Is Still Building Its Track Record
Looking back, the dividend has been stable, but the company hasn't been paying a dividend for very long so we can't be confident that the dividend will remain stable through all economic environments. Since 2022, the annual payment back then was ¥20.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥40.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 26% over that duration. The dividend has been growing rapidly, however with such a short payment history we can't know for sure if payment can continue to grow over the long term, so caution may be warranted.
TRE Holdings May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend
The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. Unfortunately, TRE Holdings' earnings per share has been essentially flat over the past five years, which means the dividend may not be increased each year. If TRE Holdings is struggling to find viable investments, it always has the option to increase its payout ratio to pay more to shareholders.
Our Thoughts On TRE Holdings' Dividend
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about TRE Holdings' payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for TRE Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if TRE Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:9247
TRE Holdings
Through its subsidiaries, engages in the waste treatment and recycling businesses in Japan.
Undervalued with acceptable track record.