Daiki Axis Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:4245) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥12.00 per share on 3rd of September. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 3.7%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
Estimates Indicate Daiki Axis' Could Struggle to Maintain Dividend Payments In The Future
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. The last payment made up 76% of earnings, but cash flows were much higher. In general, cash flows are more important than earnings, so we are comfortable that the dividend will be sustainable going forward, especially with so much cash left over for reinvestment.
If the company can't turn things around, EPS could fall by 16.4% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 109%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.
See our latest analysis for Daiki Axis
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was ¥9.50, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥24.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 9.7% per annum over that time. A reasonable rate of dividend growth is good to see, but we're wary that the dividend history is not as solid as we'd like, having been cut at least once.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Earnings per share has been sinking by 16% over the last five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough.
Our Thoughts On Daiki Axis' Dividend
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Just as an example, we've come across 4 warning signs for Daiki Axis you should be aware of, and 2 of them shouldn't be ignored. Is Daiki Axis not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:4245
Daiki Axis
Manufactures, constructs, maintains, and sells various wastewater treatment equipment in Japan.
Proven track record average dividend payer.
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