Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, G-Factory Co.,Ltd. (TSE:3474) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for G-FactoryLtd
How Much Debt Does G-FactoryLtd Carry?
As you can see below, G-FactoryLtd had JP¥1.01b of debt at June 2024, down from JP¥1.15b a year prior. However, it does have JP¥1.56b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of JP¥553.0m.
A Look At G-FactoryLtd's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, G-FactoryLtd had liabilities of JP¥990.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥1.87b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥1.56b and JP¥191.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total JP¥1.11b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
G-FactoryLtd has a market capitalization of JP¥5.03b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. While it does have liabilities worth noting, G-FactoryLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Importantly, G-FactoryLtd's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 76% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since G-FactoryLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While G-FactoryLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, G-FactoryLtd's free cash flow amounted to 44% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Summing Up
Although G-FactoryLtd's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of JP¥553.0m. So while G-FactoryLtd does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with G-FactoryLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:3474
G-FactoryLtd
Engages in the provision of management support services for restaurants.
Adequate balance sheet and overvalued.