Stock Analysis

Update: Koyou Rentia (TYO:7081) Stock Gained 46% In The Last Year

TSE:7081
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Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But investors can boost returns by picking market-beating companies to own shares in. For example, the Koyou Rentia Co., Ltd. (TYO:7081) share price is up 46% in the last year, clearly besting the market return of around 23% (not including dividends). So that should have shareholders smiling. Koyou Rentia hasn't been listed for long, so it's still not clear if it is a long term winner.

Check out our latest analysis for Koyou Rentia

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Over the last twelve months, Koyou Rentia actually shrank its EPS by 27%.

So we don't think that investors are paying too much attention to EPS. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

Koyou Rentia's revenue actually dropped 4.0% over last year. So the fundamental metrics don't provide an obvious explanation for the share price gain.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
JASDAQ:7081 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 26th 2021

It is of course excellent to see how Koyou Rentia has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. If you are thinking of buying or selling Koyou Rentia stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there's a difference between Koyou Rentia's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Koyou Rentia hasn't been paying dividends, but its TSR of 50% exceeds its share price return of 46%, implying it has either spun-off a business, or raised capital at a discount; thereby providing additional value to shareholders.

A Different Perspective

Koyou Rentia shareholders should be happy with the total gain of 50% over the last twelve months. And the share price momentum remains respectable, with a gain of 13% in the last three months. Demand for the stock from multiple parties is pushing the price higher; it could be that word is getting out about its virtues as a business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Koyou Rentia that you should be aware of.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on JP exchanges.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Koyou Rentia might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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