Stock Analysis

Heiwa PaperLtd (TSE:9929) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of ¥6.00

TSE:9929
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Heiwa Paper Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:9929) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥6.00 per share on 1st of July. Based on this payment, the dividend yield will be 2.7%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

See our latest analysis for Heiwa PaperLtd

Heiwa PaperLtd's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. At the time of the last dividend payment, Heiwa PaperLtd was paying out a very large proportion of what it was earning and 203% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows can expose the business to needing to cut the dividend if the business runs into some challenges.

Looking forward, could fall by 12.3% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 83%, which is definitely on the higher side.

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TSE:9929 Historic Dividend February 26th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥10.00 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥12.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 1.8% a year over that time. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Heiwa PaperLtd's EPS has fallen by approximately 12% per year during the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future.

Heiwa PaperLtd's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 3 warning signs for Heiwa PaperLtd that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.