With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.3x Mirai Industry Co.,Ltd. (TSE:7931) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios under 14x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been advantageous for Mirai IndustryLtd as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Mirai IndustryLtd
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Mirai IndustryLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Is There Enough Growth For Mirai IndustryLtd?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Mirai IndustryLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 78% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 88% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 5.0% during the coming year according to the only analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it concerning that Mirai IndustryLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Mirai IndustryLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Mirai IndustryLtd (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us).
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Mirai IndustryLtd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:7931
Mirai IndustryLtd
Engages in the manufacture and sale of electrical and pipe materials, and wiring devices in Japan.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.