Stock Analysis

Here's Why We're Wary Of Buying Noda's (TSE:7879) For Its Upcoming Dividend

TSE:7879
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It looks like Noda Corporation (TSE:7879) is about to go ex-dividend in the next 4 days. The ex-dividend date is two business days before a company's record date in most cases, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is an important date to be aware of as any purchase of the stock made on or after this date might mean a late settlement that doesn't show on the record date. Thus, you can purchase Noda's shares before the 29th of May in order to receive the dividend, which the company will pay on the 19th of August.

The company's next dividend payment will be JP¥18.00 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of JP¥36.00 to shareholders. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Noda has a trailing yield of 5.3% on the current share price of JP¥681.00. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Noda's dividend is reliable and sustainable. So we need to investigate whether Noda can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

Our free stock report includes 3 warning signs investors should be aware of before investing in Noda. Read for free now.

Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. Noda's dividend is not well covered by earnings, as the company lost money last year. This is not a sustainable state of affairs, so it would be worth investigating if earnings are expected to recover. With the recent loss, it's important to check if the business generated enough cash to pay its dividend. If cash earnings don't cover the dividend, the company would have to pay dividends out of cash in the bank, or by borrowing money, neither of which is long-term sustainable. The company paid out 93% of its free cash flow over the last year, which we think is outside the ideal range for most businesses. Companies usually need cash more than they need earnings - expenses don't pay themselves - so it's not great to see it paying out so much of its cash flow.

View our latest analysis for Noda

Click here to see how much of its profit Noda paid out over the last 12 months.

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TSE:7879 Historic Dividend May 24th 2025
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Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. Noda reported a loss last year, and the general trend suggests its earnings have also been declining in recent years, making us wonder if the dividend is at risk.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. In the past 10 years, Noda has increased its dividend at approximately 12% a year on average.

Remember, you can always get a snapshot of Noda's financial health, by checking our visualisation of its financial health, here.

The Bottom Line

Has Noda got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? It's hard to get used to Noda paying a dividend despite reporting a loss over the past year. Worse, the dividend was not well covered by cash flow. It's not an attractive combination from a dividend perspective, and we're inclined to pass on this one for the time being.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of Noda don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Noda (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Noda might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.