TOKYO KEIKI INC. (TSE:7721) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 1st of July to ¥32.50. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 1.4% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that TOKYO KEIKI's stock price has increased by 33% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.
View our latest analysis for TOKYO KEIKI
TOKYO KEIKI's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions
Even a low dividend yield can be attractive if it is sustained for years on end. Before making this announcement, TOKYO KEIKI was earning enough to cover the dividend, but it wasn't generating any free cash flows. No cash flows could definitely make returning cash to shareholders difficult, or at least mean the balance sheet will come under pressure.
EPS is set to fall by 6.8% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, we estimate the payout ratio could be 51%, which is definitely feasible to continue.
TOKYO KEIKI Has A Solid Track Record
The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥15.00 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥32.50. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 8.0% over that duration. Companies like this can be very valuable over the long term, if the decent rate of growth can be maintained.
Dividend Growth Is Doubtful
The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. Let's not jump to conclusions as things might not be as good as they appear on the surface. It's not great to see that TOKYO KEIKI's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 6.8% per year over the past five years. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed.
In Summary
Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. While TOKYO KEIKI is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 2 warning signs for TOKYO KEIKI you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:7721
TOKYO KEIKI
Manufactures and sells measuring instruments in Japan and internationally.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.