Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Sugita Ace Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:7635) shareholders over the last week. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.
Examining Cashflow Against Sugita AceLtd's Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Over the twelve months to March 2025, Sugita AceLtd recorded an accrual ratio of -0.22. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of JP¥2.8b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of JP¥517.0m. Sugita AceLtd shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Sugita AceLtd.
Our Take On Sugita AceLtd's Profit Performance
Happily for shareholders, Sugita AceLtd produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Sugita AceLtd's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Better yet, its EPS are growing strongly, which is nice to see. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Sugita AceLtd as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Sugita AceLtd, and understanding it should be part of your investment process.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Sugita AceLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.