Nippon Sharyo, Ltd.'s (TSE:7102) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥20.00 per share on 2nd of December. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 1.5% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Nippon Sharyo's stock price has increased by 31% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.
Nippon Sharyo's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
Even a low dividend yield can be attractive if it is sustained for years on end. Based on the last payment, Nippon Sharyo was earning enough to cover the dividend, but free cash flows weren't positive. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.
Looking forward, EPS could fall by 1.7% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could be 8.1%, which we consider to be quite comfortable, with most of the company's earnings left over to grow the business in the future.
Check out our latest analysis for Nippon Sharyo
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ¥50.00 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of ¥40.00. The dividend has shrunk at around 2.2% a year during that period. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.
The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Although it's important to note that Nippon Sharyo's earnings per share has basically not grown from where it was five years ago, which could erode the purchasing power of the dividend over time.
Nippon Sharyo's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Nippon Sharyo will make a great income stock. While Nippon Sharyo is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for Nippon Sharyo that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is Nippon Sharyo not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Nippon Sharyo might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:7102
Nippon Sharyo
Engages in the manufactures and sale of railway vehicles, construction machinery, transportation equipment, steel structures, construction; and engineering and other activities in Japan, the United States, Asia, and internationally.
Proven track record with adequate balance sheet.
Similar Companies
Market Insights
Community Narratives


