IHI Corporation (TSE:7013), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price rise of 92% in the past couple of months on the TSE. The company's trading levels have reached its high for the past year, following the recent bounce in the share price. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at IHI’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.
Check out our latest analysis for IHI
What's The Opportunity In IHI?
IHI appears to be overvalued by 34% at the moment, based on our discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at JP¥8,102 on the market compared to our intrinsic value of ¥6040.02. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that IHI’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
Can we expect growth from IHI?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With revenues expected to grow by 31% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for IHI. If the level of expenses is able to be maintained, it looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in 7013’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe 7013 should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 7013 for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for 7013, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for IHI you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:7013
IHI
Designs and builds engineering solutions in Japan and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.