Stock Analysis

Here's Why Takaoka Toko (TSE:6617) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

TSE:6617
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Takaoka Toko Co., Ltd. (TSE:6617) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Takaoka Toko

What Is Takaoka Toko's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Takaoka Toko had JP¥4.46b of debt, up from JP¥2.98b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds JP¥12.9b in cash, so it actually has JP¥8.41b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:6617 Debt to Equity History October 29th 2024

How Strong Is Takaoka Toko's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Takaoka Toko had liabilities of JP¥24.9b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥20.1b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥12.9b in cash and JP¥22.8b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by JP¥9.27b.

Takaoka Toko has a market capitalization of JP¥32.0b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Takaoka Toko boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Takaoka Toko has boosted its EBIT by 66%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Takaoka Toko's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Takaoka Toko has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Takaoka Toko recorded free cash flow of 28% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Summing Up

While Takaoka Toko does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of JP¥8.41b. And we liked the look of last year's 66% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we are not troubled with Takaoka Toko's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Takaoka Toko you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Takaoka Toko might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.