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Hitachi, Ltd.'s (TSE:6501) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 29% Slump
The Hitachi, Ltd. (TSE:6501) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 29%. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 3.1% over that longer period.
Although its price has dipped substantially, given close to half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 12x, you may still consider Hitachi as a stock to avoid entirely with its 21.4x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Hitachi's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Hitachi
Is There Enough Growth For Hitachi?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Hitachi's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 27%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 5.7% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 20% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 9.7% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Hitachi is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
Hitachi's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Hitachi's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Hitachi has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Hitachi. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hitachi might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6501
Hitachi
Provides digital system and services, green energy and mobility, and connective industry solutions in Japan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with moderate growth potential.
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