Stock Analysis

Take Care Before Jumping Onto Daido Kogyo Co., Ltd. (TSE:6373) Even Though It's 25% Cheaper

TSE:6373
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Daido Kogyo Co., Ltd. (TSE:6373) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 3.3% over that longer period.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, when close to half the companies operating in Japan's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.7x, you may still consider Daido Kogyo as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Daido Kogyo

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:6373 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 6th 2024

What Does Daido Kogyo's Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Daido Kogyo's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this benign revenue growth rate will likely underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Daido Kogyo will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Daido Kogyo's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Daido Kogyo's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Still, the latest three year period was better as it's delivered a decent 26% overall rise in revenue. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 5.5%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

In light of this, it's peculiar that Daido Kogyo's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Daido Kogyo's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Daido Kogyo revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Daido Kogyo (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.