The board of Union Tool Co. (TSE:6278) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 5th of September, with investors receiving ¥42.00 per share. This means that the annual payment will be 1.8% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Union Tool's stock price has increased by 34% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.
View our latest analysis for Union Tool
Union Tool's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings
We like to see a healthy dividend yield, but that is only helpful to us if the payment can continue. Prior to this announcement, Union Tool's dividend was only 46% of earnings, however it was paying out 636% of free cash flows. The company might be more focused on returning cash to shareholders, but paying out this much of its cash flow could expose the dividend to being cut in the future.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 44.3% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 36% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ¥32.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥84.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 10% over that duration. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Unfortunately, Union Tool's earnings per share has been essentially flat over the past five years, which means the dividend may not be increased each year.
Union Tool's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Union Tool's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. While Union Tool is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Union Tool that investors should take into consideration. Is Union Tool not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6278
Union Tool
Engages in the production and sale of cutting tools, linear motion products, and metal machining equipment in Japan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.