Stock Analysis

Should Income Investors Look At Kinden Corporation (TSE:1944) Before Its Ex-Dividend?

TSE:1944
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Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Kinden Corporation (TSE:1944) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next four days. The ex-dividend date is usually set to be one business day before the record date which is the cut-off date on which you must be present on the company's books as a shareholder in order to receive the dividend. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. In other words, investors can purchase Kinden's shares before the 27th of September in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 27th of November.

The company's next dividend payment will be JP¥40.00 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of JP¥70.00 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Kinden has a trailing yield of 2.2% on the current stock price of JP¥3216.00. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Kinden's dividend is reliable and sustainable. So we need to investigate whether Kinden can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

Check out our latest analysis for Kinden

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. That's why it's good to see Kinden paying out a modest 37% of its earnings. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Kinden generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. It paid out 77% of its free cash flow as dividends, which is within usual limits but will limit the company's ability to lift the dividend if there's no growth.

It's positive to see that Kinden's dividend is covered by both profits and cash flow, since this is generally a sign that the dividend is sustainable, and a lower payout ratio usually suggests a greater margin of safety before the dividend gets cut.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
TSE:1944 Historic Dividend September 22nd 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Stocks in companies that generate sustainable earnings growth often make the best dividend prospects, as it is easier to lift the dividend when earnings are rising. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. This is why it's a relief to see Kinden earnings per share are up 5.4% per annum over the last five years. Decent historical earnings per share growth suggests Kinden has been effectively growing value for shareholders. However, it's now paying out more than half its earnings as dividends. If management lifts the payout ratio further, we'd take this as a tacit signal that the company's growth prospects are slowing.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Since the start of our data, 10 years ago, Kinden has lifted its dividend by approximately 15% a year on average. We're glad to see dividends rising alongside earnings over a number of years, which may be a sign the company intends to share the growth with shareholders.

The Bottom Line

Has Kinden got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? Earnings per share growth has been modest, and it's interesting that Kinden is paying out less than half of its earnings and more than half its cash flow to shareholders in the form of dividends. In summary, while it has some positive characteristics, we're not inclined to race out and buy Kinden today.

On that note, you'll want to research what risks Kinden is facing. Our analysis shows 1 warning sign for Kinden and you should be aware of it before buying any shares.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kinden might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.