Getting In Cheap On Otec Corporation (TSE:1736) Is Unlikely

It's not a stretch to say that Otec Corporation's (TSE:1736) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Japan, where the median P/E ratio is around 14x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Otec has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

See our latest analysis for Otec

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Otec's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Otec's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Otec's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 14% last year. EPS has also lifted 7.3% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 9.8% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it interesting that Otec is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Otec currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Otec (including 1 which is concerning).

If you're unsure about the strength of Otec's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com