Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Sumiseki Holdings,Inc.'s (TSE:1514) 31% Share Price Plunge

TSE:1514
Source: Shutterstock

The Sumiseki Holdings,Inc. (TSE:1514) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 31%. The good news is that in the last year, the stock has shone bright like a diamond, gaining 267%.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 15x, you may still consider Sumiseki HoldingsInc as an attractive investment with its 9.3x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Sumiseki HoldingsInc has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Sumiseki HoldingsInc

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:1514 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 17th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sumiseki HoldingsInc's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

Sumiseki HoldingsInc's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 112%. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 9.9% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we can see why Sumiseki HoldingsInc is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Sumiseki HoldingsInc's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Sumiseki HoldingsInc maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Sumiseki HoldingsInc you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Sumiseki HoldingsInc's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.