Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that YKT Corporation (TYO:2693) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for YKT
How Much Debt Does YKT Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 YKT had JP¥3.16b of debt, an increase on JP¥2.15b, over one year. But on the other hand it also has JP¥3.85b in cash, leading to a JP¥696.0m net cash position.
How Strong Is YKT's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that YKT had liabilities of JP¥2.33b due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥2.65b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥3.85b and JP¥1.75b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast JP¥618.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This excess liquidity suggests that YKT is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Succinctly put, YKT boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
It is just as well that YKT's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 53% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is YKT's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While YKT has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, YKT saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Summing up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case YKT has JP¥696.0m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with YKT's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for YKT you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About TSE:2693
YKT
A machinery trading company, imports and exports electronic equipment, machine tools, measuring equipment, welding machines, and industrial machinery in Japan and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet slight.