Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, EXEDY Corporation (TSE:7278) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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What Is EXEDY's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that EXEDY had JPÂ¥30.0b of debt in March 2024, down from JPÂ¥33.7b, one year before. But it also has JPÂ¥76.1b in cash to offset that, meaning it has JPÂ¥46.2b net cash.
A Look At EXEDY's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that EXEDY had liabilities of JPÂ¥54.7b due within a year, and liabilities of JPÂ¥33.7b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had JPÂ¥76.1b in cash and JPÂ¥53.5b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast JPÂ¥41.3b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus liquidity suggests that EXEDY's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Simply put, the fact that EXEDY has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine EXEDY's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Over 12 months, EXEDY reported revenue of JPÂ¥308b, which is a gain of 7.9%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.
So How Risky Is EXEDY?
Although EXEDY had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of JPÂ¥28b. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. We'll feel more comfortable with the stock once EBIT is positive, given the lacklustre revenue growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for EXEDY that you should be aware of before investing here.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:7278
EXEDY
Manufactures and sells manual and automatic transmission vehicle parts in Japan and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.