EXEDY Valuation

Is 7278 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7278 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7278 (¥4400) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥8354.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7278 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7278?

Key metric: As 7278 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 7278. This is calculated by dividing 7278's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 7278's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.6x
SalesJP¥310.94b
Market CapJP¥178.73b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 7278's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 7278 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.5x
6995 Tokai Rika
0.3x2.4%JP¥192.8b
3569 SeirenLtd
1.1x4.7%JP¥165.4b
5191 Sumitomo Riko
0.3x2.9%JP¥169.0b
0.3x3.6%JP¥147.2b
7278 EXEDY
0.6x0.6%JP¥178.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 7278 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 7278's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Auto Components Industry?

13 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7241 Futaba Industrial
0.09x6.9%US$409.90m
6444 Sanden
0.09xn/aUS$104.64m
7238 Akebono Brake Industry
0.09xn/aUS$97.47m
5852 Ahresty
0.09x3.4%US$95.19m
7278 0.6xIndustry Avg. 0.3xNo. of Companies25PS00.40.81.21.62+
13 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 7278 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the JP Auto Components industry average (0.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7278's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7278 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.6x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 7278 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7278 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,400.00
JP¥3,250.00
-26.1%
1.5%JP¥3,300.00JP¥3,200.00n/a2
Dec ’25JP¥4,445.00
JP¥2,850.00
-35.9%
12.3%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,500.00n/a2
Nov ’25JP¥4,055.00
JP¥2,850.00
-29.7%
12.3%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,500.00n/a2
Oct ’25JP¥3,185.00
JP¥2,850.00
-10.5%
12.3%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,500.00n/a2
Sep ’25JP¥3,115.00
JP¥2,850.00
-8.5%
12.3%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,500.00n/a2
Aug ’25JP¥3,120.00
JP¥2,850.00
-8.7%
12.3%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,500.00n/a2
Jul ’25JP¥3,020.00
JP¥2,850.00
-5.6%
12.3%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,500.00n/a2
Jun ’25JP¥2,573.00
JP¥3,000.00
+16.6%
6.7%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,800.00n/a2
May ’25JP¥2,865.00
JP¥3,000.00
+4.7%
6.7%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,800.00n/a2
Apr ’25JP¥3,010.00
JP¥3,000.00
-0.3%
6.7%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,800.00n/a2
Mar ’25JP¥3,045.00
JP¥2,150.00
-29.4%
11.6%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,900.00n/a2
Feb ’25JP¥2,862.00
JP¥2,150.00
-24.9%
11.6%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,900.00n/a2
Jan ’25JP¥2,594.00
JP¥2,150.00
-17.1%
11.6%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥4,400.002
Dec ’24JP¥2,549.00
JP¥2,150.00
-15.7%
11.6%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥4,445.002
Nov ’24JP¥2,588.00
JP¥2,100.00
-18.9%
9.5%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥4,055.002
Oct ’24JP¥2,614.00
JP¥2,100.00
-19.7%
9.5%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥3,185.002
Jun ’24JP¥2,099.00
JP¥1,750.00
-16.6%
8.6%JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,573.002
May ’24JP¥2,026.00
JP¥1,750.00
-13.6%
8.6%JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,865.002
Apr ’24JP¥1,813.00
JP¥1,750.00
-3.5%
8.6%JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥3,010.002
Mar ’24JP¥1,831.00
JP¥1,750.00
-4.4%
8.6%JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥3,045.002
Feb ’24JP¥1,747.00
JP¥1,700.00
-2.7%
5.9%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,862.002
Jan ’24JP¥1,616.00
JP¥1,750.00
+8.3%
2.9%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥2,594.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/03 15:32
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/30 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

EXEDY Corporation is covered by 7 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Masahiro AkitaCredit Suisse
Shiro SakamakiDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
Ayako WatanabeIchiyoshi Research Institute Inc.