EXEDY Corporation

TSE:7278 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥186.4b

EXEDY Valuation

Is 7278 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7278 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7278 (¥4460) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥7375.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7278 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7278?

Key metric: As 7278 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 7278. This is calculated by dividing 7278's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 7278's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.6x
SalesJP¥310.94b
Market CapJP¥186.40b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 7278's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 7278 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.5x
6995 Tokai Rika
0.3x2.6%JP¥181.0b
7313 TS TECH
0.4x1.7%JP¥202.1b
3569 SeirenLtd
1.1x4.5%JP¥162.9b
5191 Sumitomo Riko
0.3x3.2%JP¥168.6b
7278 EXEDY
0.6x0.2%JP¥186.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 7278 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (0.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 7278's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Auto Components Industry?

13 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7241 Futaba Industrial
0.08x6.9%US$388.16m
6444 Sanden
0.09xn/aUS$110.16m
7238 Akebono Brake Industry
0.09xn/aUS$100.53m
5852 Ahresty
0.08xn/aUS$85.32m
7278 0.6xIndustry Avg. 0.3xNo. of Companies29PS00.40.81.21.62+
13 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 7278 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the JP Auto Components industry average (0.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7278's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7278 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.6x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 7278 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7278 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,460.00
JP¥2,850.00
-36.1%
12.3%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,500.00n/a2
Nov ’25JP¥4,055.00
JP¥2,850.00
-29.7%
12.3%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,500.00n/a2
Oct ’25JP¥3,185.00
JP¥2,850.00
-10.5%
12.3%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,500.00n/a2
Sep ’25JP¥3,115.00
JP¥2,850.00
-8.5%
12.3%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,500.00n/a2
Aug ’25JP¥3,120.00
JP¥2,850.00
-8.7%
12.3%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,500.00n/a2
Jul ’25JP¥3,020.00
JP¥2,850.00
-5.6%
12.3%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,500.00n/a2
Jun ’25JP¥2,573.00
JP¥3,000.00
+16.6%
6.7%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,800.00n/a2
May ’25JP¥2,865.00
JP¥3,000.00
+4.7%
6.7%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,800.00n/a2
Apr ’25JP¥3,010.00
JP¥3,000.00
-0.3%
6.7%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,800.00n/a2
Mar ’25JP¥3,045.00
JP¥2,150.00
-29.4%
11.6%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,900.00n/a2
Feb ’25JP¥2,862.00
JP¥2,150.00
-24.9%
11.6%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,900.00n/a2
Jan ’25JP¥2,594.00
JP¥2,150.00
-17.1%
11.6%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,900.00n/a2
Dec ’24JP¥2,549.00
JP¥2,150.00
-15.7%
11.6%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,900.00n/a2
Nov ’24JP¥2,588.00
JP¥2,100.00
-18.9%
9.5%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥4,055.002
Oct ’24JP¥2,614.00
JP¥2,100.00
-19.7%
9.5%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,900.00JP¥3,185.002
Jun ’24JP¥2,099.00
JP¥1,750.00
-16.6%
8.6%JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,573.002
May ’24JP¥2,026.00
JP¥1,750.00
-13.6%
8.6%JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,865.002
Apr ’24JP¥1,813.00
JP¥1,750.00
-3.5%
8.6%JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥3,010.002
Mar ’24JP¥1,831.00
JP¥1,750.00
-4.4%
8.6%JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥3,045.002
Feb ’24JP¥1,747.00
JP¥1,700.00
-2.7%
5.9%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,600.00JP¥2,862.002
Jan ’24JP¥1,616.00
JP¥1,750.00
+8.3%
2.9%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥2,594.002
Dec ’23JP¥1,657.00
JP¥1,850.00
+11.6%
2.7%JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,800.00JP¥2,549.002
Nov ’23JP¥1,689.00
JP¥1,850.00
+9.5%
2.7%JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,800.00JP¥2,588.002

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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