Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Subaru Corporation (TSE:7270) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Subaru
What Is Subaru's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Subaru had debt of JP¥399.5b, up from JP¥312.6b in one year. But on the other hand it also has JP¥1.92t in cash, leading to a JP¥1.52t net cash position.
A Look At Subaru's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Subaru had liabilities of JP¥1.23t due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥1.02t due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥1.92t in cash and JP¥388.5b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast JP¥62.4b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that Subaru has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Subaru boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Subaru has boosted its EBIT by 73%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Subaru can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Subaru has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Subaru generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 94% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Summing Up
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Subaru has net cash of JP¥1.52t, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 94% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in JP¥468b. So we don't think Subaru's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Subaru (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:7270
Subaru
Manufactures and sells automobiles and aerospace products in Japan, rest of Asia, North America, Europe, and internationally.
Undervalued with solid track record and pays a dividend.