Stock Analysis

Subaru Corporation's (TSE:7270) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares

TSE:7270
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.5x Subaru Corporation (TSE:7270) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios greater than 14x and even P/E's higher than 22x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Recent times have been advantageous for Subaru as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Subaru

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:7270 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 5th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Subaru's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Subaru's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Subaru's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 48% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 327% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 0.08% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 10% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Subaru's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Subaru's P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Subaru's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Subaru (at least 1 which is concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.